Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2016, Day 4

Every one a winner! Well, that's not strictly true… Photograph: York Racecourse
20 Aug 2016 @ 10.54 am
| Sport

The tipsters table, York Races, Saturday, August 20, 2016

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunTimesGuardianAt The RacesGG.co.ukSporting LifeRacingTips.com
1.45pmDark RedErik The RedScarlet DragonSennockian StarErik The RedSnoanoImshivallaDark Red
2.15pmDiploma (nap)DiplomaDiplomaDiplomaDiplomaScottishScottishCustom Cut
2.50pmKellstormEmperor NapoleonUnicornInjamKellstormShraaohShraaohShraaoh
3.25pmBlue Point (nb)Blue PointArdad (nap)Blue PointMubtasimBlue PointMokarrisMubtasim
4.00pmHeartbreak CityVent De ForceSeamourKinema (nap)She Is No LadyAntiquariumFun Mac (nap)Vent De Force
4.35pmFinal ReckoningBig Time BabyMegan LilySutter CountyFinal ReckoningAfandemAfandemSutter County
5.05pmLady MacapaEast Street RevueLaughtonEl AstronauteMidnight MalibuQuatrieme AmiEl AstronauteEast Street Revue

The final day of the Ebor Festival is upon us, and a last chance to experience the thrill of this international sporting spectacle – and maybe pocket some winnings…

The Ebor Handicap is the big race of the day, the oldest race in York and the richest flat handicap in Europe.

But what of day three? It was another great outing for our highwayman tipster Dick Turpin where he bagged three winners: Nemoralia and Rivet (both at 15/8), finishing with Arcanada in the last race at a healthy 5/1.

In two of the other three races, Turpin’s place selections took the honours, Barsanti at 5/1 and Quest For More at 9/2.

Today, it’s the big one, let’s see what the old rogue suggests for the Ebor itself, and the highly rated Gimcrack on the final day of the festival meeting…

Turpin writes:

The weather may hold the key today for the featured Ebor Handicap (4.00). My trusty weather app [a piece of seaweed hanging from the back of your tricorn hat, Turps? – Ed] suggests a downpour is more likely than sunshine, with strong winds to take into the mix too.

This will undoubtedly favour Heartbreak City, who performs well on bottomless ground – and we are choosing to ignore a poor showing in the Chester Cup.

Rain will also increase the attractiveness of She’s No Lady who may provide some Longshot value. But if the rain doesn’t come, preference would be for Antiquarium, who walloped Seamour at Newcastle over two miles in June.

It may be the feature race, and it will be a thriller, but it’s best to approach it as a minimum stakes gamble and just enjoy the spectacle.

Turpin’s preference for a big punt comes in the second race (2.15) which promises a fascinating battle between Scottish and Diploma, who both come with not dissimilar form.

But Sir Michael Stoute’s Diploma gets the vote for her proven form in softer ground, and also her proven liking for Knavesmire, having trotted up twice already this season.

In the Gimcrack Stakes (3.25), Turpin’s loot will go confidently on the likely favourite, Blue Point, who impressed with good wins at Doncaster and Nottingham earlier this year.

Being a slightly superstitious type, and with blood red being my favourite colour, might I also mention the distinctly red nature of the opening contest (1.45).

Scarlet Dragon and Dark Red look set to fight it out, but I’ve had a small whisper for Erik The Red too, so Kevin Ryan’s gelding makes it as the Longshot choice.

But I fully expect Frankie Dettori to make it a red letter day on Dark Red to get us off to a red-blooded start.

Turpin’s tips

1.45

Win: Dark Red
EW: Scarlet Dragon
Longshot: Erik The Red

2.15

Win: Diploma (Nap)
EW: Scottish
Longshot: Custom Cut

2.50

Win: Kellstorm
EW: Shraaoh
Longshot: Jaameh

3.25

Win: Blue Point (n.b.)
EW: Mubatsim
Longshot: Intelligence Cross

4.00

Win: Heartbreak City
EW: Antiquarium
Longshot: She Is No Lady

4.35

Win: Final Reckoning
EW: Sutter County
Longshot: Big Time Baby

5.05

Win: Lady Macapa
EW: Laughton
Longshot: Midnight Malibu


From August 19, 2016 9.20am

Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2016, Day 3

The tipsters table, York Races, Friday, August 19, 2016

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunTimesGuardianAt The RacesGG.co.ukSporting LifeRacingTips.com
1.55pmStars Over The SeaShakopee (nap)SindarbanBarsantiBarsantiGold PrinceDominadaStars Over The Sea
2.30pmClever CookieClever CookieClever CookieClever CookieQuest For MoreClever CookiePallasatorTrip To Paris
3.05pmNemoralia (nb)Forge (nb)So Beloved (nb)Nemoralia (nb)NemoraliaForgeNemoraliaNemoralia
3.40pmGoldream (nap)Mecca's AngelMecca's Angel (nap)Yalta (nap)GoldreamLimatoProfitable (nap)Profitable
4.20pmRivetRivetStar StreamDance TeacherRivetRivetDance TeacherDance Teacher
4.55pmArcanadaHeir To A ThroneArcanadaArcanadaArcanadaSpruce MeadowsViscount BarfieldBobby Wheeler

It’s day three of the Ebor Festival and a chance to race into the weekend with some winnings in your back pocket.

This thrilling day at York races features the fastest race of the season, the Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes, which often decides the accolade of leading sprinter.

What of our tipster? On day two of the Ebor Firmament (at a juicy 8/1) got Turpin out of trouble. Abingdon‘s comfy win (at 13/8) in the Galtres Stakes left our favourite highwayman walking away from Knavesmire slightly up on the day. Onwards and upwards…

Turpin writes:

My battle with the bookies continues again today (Friday), with the thrilling prospect of a hotly contested 20-runner Nunthorpe Stakes (3.40).

There’s a big argument raging at the moment as to whether the draw genuinely does favour low numbers in the sprints at Knavesmire. For me, the evidence is very strong indeed.

I would never put anyone off backing their fancy from any stall. So, if you can’t decide which one of two or three to select, go low!

Fortunately, my nap selection, Goldream, just happens to be in stall 2. But the experienced seven-year-old winner of the King’s Stand and Prix de l’Abbaye would be the selection wherever he was drawn.

Strong arguments can be made for Profitable, Limato and Easton Angel too. But the Robert Powell-trained gelding is fully expected to give jockey Martin Harley a long-overdue York win.

Longshot choice is Brando, second in the Wokingham where he caught my eye. Any market move for Thirsk trainer Kevin Ryan’s (currently) 16/1 chance should be noted carefully, especially as jockey Tom Eaves will be emerging from stall no 1.

Earlier (3.05) Nemoralia takes on just ten rivals in the City Of York Stakes. This seven-furlong contest looks tailor-made for the ever-popular jockey Jamie Spencer, and I fully expect to be queuing up at the rail for a handy pay-out about 20 seconds before 3.07pm.

I never like to go mad tipping in maiden races, but today, the 4.20 seven-furlong contest looks a good opportunity for Rivet, second on his Ascot debut last month. The experience will have made all the difference.

The unraced Via Serendipity is the overnight favourite, but it’s a tough ask to win on debut at Knavesmire, and Rivet’s little bit of experience may make for an interesting contest, especially as jockey Frankie Dettori loves riding here – and Turpin loves to watch his famous flying dismount.

Turpin’s tips

1.55

Win: Stars Over The Sea
Place: Barsanti
Longshot: Gabrial’s King

2.30

Win: Clever Cookie
Place: Quest For More
Longshot: Curbyourenthusiasm

3.05

Win: Nemoralia (nb)
Place: Librisa Breeze
Longshot: Birchwood

3.40

Win: Goldream (nap)
Place: Easton Angel
Longshot: Brando

4.20

Win: Rivet
Place: Black Trilby
Longshot: Abiento

4.55

Win: Arcanada
Place: Viscount Barfield
Longshot: Manson


From August 18, 2016 10.11 am

Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2016, Day 2

The tipsters table, York Races, Thursday, August 18, 2016

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunTimesGuardianAt The RacesGG.co.ukSporting LifeDaily Star
1.55pmDanielsflyerStormy CloudsWedding DressRusumaatDanielsflyerLegendary LunchRainbow MistDanielsflyer
2.30pmFair EvaFair EvaFair EvaFair EvaFair EvaRoly PolyFair EvaRoly Poly (nb)
3.05pmFirmamentMustashryFirmamentAlfred HutchinsonOne Word MoreMustashryMushtashryLat Hawill
3.40pmFoundEndless TimeQueen's Trust (nap)Seventh Heaven (nap)FoundSeventh HeavenFound (Nap)Found
4.20pmAbingdon (nb)To Eternity (nb)AbingdonAbingdon (nb)PandoraTiptreeAbingdonAbingdon
4.55pmHawatifShow Stealer (nap)MustiqueMustiqueHawatifDawaaJadaayilDawaa

Turpin writes:

A bit of a bruising yesterday, folks. Only Idaho came up trumps, as predicted, in the Voltigeur, earning a short-priced 6-4 quote for the St Leger.

Winners should be easier to find at Knavesmire today, with no need to look beyond Fair Eva in the Lowther Stakes (2.30). Short odds undoubtedly, but a winner is a winner.

The race of the day, the Yorkshire Oaks (3.40) promises a fascinating battle for the fillies. One trainer holds the key to unravelling this.

Aidan O’Brien comes four-handed with Found, Even Song, Pretty Perfect and Seventh Heaven – and Turpin is hoping for three of them to fill the top spots – and will be having a crack at the Tricast on that one.

The main danger comes from Queen’s Trust, who was eye-catching ion the Nassau Stakes at Goodwood.

The Galtres Stakes (4.20) serves up a tantalising 1m4f contest for staying fillies.

Turpin has had a strong word for Sir Michael Stoute’s classy Abingdon, likely favourite after Newbury and Ascot wins already this season, and a creditable second at Newmarket over the same distance last month.

Turpin’s tips

1.55

Win: Danielsflyer
Place: Rusumaat
Longshot: Miss Infinity

2.30

Win: Fair Eva

3.05

Win: Firmament
Place: Third Time Lucky
Longshot: Spark Plug

3.40

Win: Found (Nap)
Place: Seventh Heaven
Longshot: Even Song

4.20

Win: Abingdon (n.b.)
Place: Twitch
Longshot: To Eternity

4.55

Win: Hawatif
Place: Dawaa
Longshot: Opal Tiara


From August 17, 2016 9.40 am

Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2016, Day 1

The tipsters table, York Races, Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunDaily MailTimesGuardianAt The RacesGG.co.uk
1.55pmRobot BoyBowson FredLine Of ReasonLine Of ReasonLine Of ReasonNinjagoBoom The Groom
2.30pmBear ValleyBest Of DaysBest Of DaysBear Valley (nap)Best Of DaysBear ValleyBest Of Days
3.05pmIdaho (nap)IdahoIdahoIdahoIdahoIdahoIdaho
3.40pmHawkbill (nb)Hawkbill (nap)HawkbillDariyanHawkbill (nap)PostponedHawkbill
4.20pmBotany BayOceaneBotany Bay (nap)RennetiHavana Beat (nb)EshtiaalPoyle Thomas
4.55pmMutawathebNaaferNautical HavenThe Wagon Wheel (nb)The Wagon WheelMutawathebThe Wagon Wheel

Turpin writes:

Wednesday’s racing kicks off with a bang and features three great races – the Acomb, Great Voltigeur, and the prestigious Juddmonte Stakes – in a highly competitive six-race card.

I’ve been hiding from the law in the trophy room at Bootham Crescent, safe in the knowledge that it is rarely used, though I’m hoping Jackie McNamara can turn things around this season (good luck with that – Ed).

The highwayman work has dried up somewhat, so I’ve been working on my next money-making scheme… and now I’ve cracked it! A sure fire way of making a profit at Knavesmire every time. A guaranteed winner.

No, not betting on the horses. My plan is to set up a stall selling flip-flops to all those lovely damsels who underestimated just how sore their feet would become in those oh-so-fancy kitten heels they bought for the big day.

At the last meeting, I couldn’t help but notice that more than half the women leaving Knavesmire after the last race were doing so in bare feet, toting their too-tight footwear as they staggered back to Tadcaster Road and Micklegate.

As for making money from the betting… I’ve had a tremendous year so far and am well up on the bookies. But it’s still tough to find a winner when all horse are at their peak in August.

Today my banker is Idaho in the Great Voltigeur (3.05). Sorry, it’s not a great tip. You can, at best, only hope to double your money when J A ‘Seamie’ Heffernan steers the Aidan O’Brien likely favourite safely down the mile and a half course.

But there is nothing else to touch him in this. The only undoing could come if the pace is too slow in the middle stages. But he is a confident Turpin nap.

A much more interesting story will unravel in the Juddmonte feature race (3.40). Whilst we don’t expect a repeat of last year’s Arabian Queen surprise at 50-1, there are at least five of the field of 12 with solid claims.

Topmost among those is the likely favourite, five-year-old Postponed on a four-timer after a great win in Epsom’s Coronation Cup in June. If your heart is set on Postponed, don’t let me put you off.

But Turpin always looks for value, and preference is for six-time winner Hawkbill whose impressive Eclipse victory was enough to convince us that William Buick’s mount has enough in hand to score here at good odds.

The Grey Gatsby and Wings Of Desire both like the Knavesmire track and could be the best of the longer-priced combatants.

Earlier (1.55), I have heard a helpful stable whisper from David Barron’s North Yorkshire stronghold. The man from Maunby may have found the secret to unlock Robot Boy‘s potential.

Will the blinkers do the trick? Turpin thinks so – and at attractive odds too.

See you on Knavesmire. Don’t forget to say hello to me at the stall where you can swap your slingbacks for something a little more comfy.

Turpin’s tips

1.55

Win: Robot Boy
Place: Lexington Abbey
Longshot: Bowson Fred

2.30

Win: Bear Valley
Place: Best Of Days
Longshot: Lockheed

3.05

Win: Idaho (Nap)
Place: Across The Stars
Longshot: The Major General

3.40

Win: Hawkbill (n.b.)
Place: Postponed
Longshot: Wings Of Desire

4.20

Win: Botany Bay
Place: Poyle Thomas
Longshot: Renneti

4.55

Win: Mutawatheb
Place: Kamra
Longshot: Nautical Haven