The tipsters’ table, York Races, Saturday, August 25, 2018Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks
|Tipster/ race||Dick Turpin||Sun||Daily Mail||Times||Telegraph||Guardian||Sporting Life||At The Races||GG.co.uk|
|1.50||Lord Glitters||Mustashry (treble)||Mustashry||Threading||Seniority||Lord Glitters||Lord Glitters||Lord Glitters||Lord Glitters|
|2.25||Making Miracles||Supernova||Making Miracles||Coolongolook||Shuhood||Supernova (nap)||Heart Of Grace||Heart Of Grace||Making Miracles|
|3.00||Expert Eye (nb)||Expert Eye (nap)||Suedois||Expert Eye||Expert Eye||Expert Eye||Expert Eye||Expert Eye||Expert Eye|
|3.40||Stratum (nap)||Dylan Mouth||Crowned Eagle (nap)||Crowned Eagle||Teodoro||Blakeney Point (nb)||Blakeney Point (nap)||Nakeeta||Blakeney Point|
|4.15||Well Done Fox||Sabre||Sabre||Chapelli||Vintage Brut||Chapelli||Sabre||Sabre||Sabre|
|4.50||Pivoine||Exhort||Pivoine||Thomas Cranmer (nap)||Society Red||Thomas Cranmer||Kings Gift||Alfarris||Communique|
|5.20||Marnie James||Roundhay Park||Savalas (nb)||Eeh Bah Gum||Savalas||Roundhay Park||Bengali Boys||Roundhay Park||Marnie James|
It’s Sky Bet Ebor Saturday, where the feature contest for four year olds and upwards becomes the joint richest flat handicap in Europe with prize money of £500,000.
But will you make any money? Here’s where your cash should go according to YorkMix tipster Dick Turpin…
Today’s feature race, the Sky Bet Ebor (3.40) attracts the cream of Britain’s middle-distance handicappers in an intriguing contest, Turpin writes.
There are positives and negatives hanging over all the leading candidates: Weekender (Dettori aboard, but can the Frankel colt defy top weight, a tall order); Blakeney Point (last season’s promise hasn’t yet materialised, and the gelding is now back up in trip, but could the addition of blinkers be the answer; Crowned Eagle (a switch in stables has worked wonders, but has he hit his peak, might not be quite good enough); Sea The Lion (hard to believe, but this seven-year-old continues to improve, but has the handicapper hit him too hard with an 11lb rise for his latest Curragh victory).
And so it goes on for the likes of Whiskey Sour, Nakeeta and Teodoro. And the selection is… Stratum. Willie Mullins’ five-year-old appears to have all the stamina credentials.
Proven at the distance (won a big Newbury handicap over 16.5f) when application of the hood seemed to do the trick. An 8lb rise for that victory still leaves the gelding at the bottom of this handicap, a full 10lb below the top rated entrants.
Turpin would normally say this race is best watched and enjoyed from the stands rather than in the betting ring. But this is the Ebor – and different rules apply. It’s time to plunge. Stratum for me!
Win: Lord Glitters
Win: Making Miracles
Longshot: Berkshire Blue
Win: Expert Eye (nb)
Win: Stratum (nap)
Place: Crowned Eagle
Longshot: Dylan Mouth
Win: Well Done Fox
Longshot: I Believe In You
Longshot: Society Red
Win: Marnie James
Place: Roundhay Park
Longshot: Fool For You
From August 24, 2018 9.16 am
Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2018, Day 3
The tipsters’ table, York Races, Friday, August 24, 2018Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks
|Tipster/ race||Dick Turpin||Sun||Mirror||Daily Mail||Times||Telegraph||Guardian||Sporting Life||At The Races||GG.co.uk|
|1.55||Melting Dew||Maori Bob||Mister Belvedere||Pacify (nap)||First Nation||First Nation||Erik The Red (nap)||Kelly's Dino||Erik The Red||Melting Dew|
|3.00||Space Traveller (nap)||Legends Of War||Legends Of War (nb)||The Irish Rover||Space Traveller (nap)||Legends of War||Chuck Willis||The Irish Rover||Space Traveller||Shine So Bright|
|3.35||Battaash||Battaash||Battaash||Battaash||Mabs Cross (nb)||Battaash||Battaash||Battaash (nap)||Battaash||Battaash|
|4.15||Sky Defender (nb)||Beat Le Bon||Beat Le Bon||Sky Defender||Sky Defender||Barys||Beat Le Bon||Sky Defender||Beat Le Bon||Sky Defender|
|4.50||Crack On Crack On||Borodin (nap)||Ulshaw Bridge||Silver Quartz||Crack On Crack On||Crack On Crack On||Ulshaw Bridge (nb)||Kassar||Borodin||Crack On Crack On|
It was a game of two halves for punters at Knavesmire on Day Two of the Ebor meeting.
Three hot favourites obliged and three outsiders triumphed (at 14/1, 20/1 and 33/1).
But the one result that overshadowed all others was Frankie Dettori’s enterprising front-running ride on Poet’s Society (20/1) in the Clipper Logistics, bringing Middleham trainer Mark Johnston his 4,194th winner – the record for any British trainer.
Since his first York victory in 1991, Knavesmire has been a happy hunting ground for the affable Scot.
Today he saddles just two unfancied horses (Caplin in the 4.15 maiden race, and Aquarium in the last race Handicap), and one with a real chance, Sky Defender, also in the 4.15. So we might not have to wait too long to see him add to his record-breaking tally.
Meanwhile, YorkMix’s resident tipster Dick Turpin has been studying the form to bring you these suggestions.
Stradivarius (in the 2.25 Lonsdale Cup Stakes) and Battaash (in the mad five-furlong dash that is the Nunthorpe Stakes at 3.35) both look nailed on to triumph at short odds, writes tipster Turpin.
As ever, I am looking for the value bets of the day, and these appear to come with Space Traveller in the Gimcrack (3.00), and Mark Johnston’s Sky Defender in the Convivial Maiden Stakes (4.15).
Sky Defender (4.15) will have come on hugely for his debut second place at Goodwood, and has the beating of likely rivals Beat Le Bon and Commanding Officer.
Win: Melting Dew
Place: First Nation
Place: Red Verdon
Longshot: Desert Skyline
Win: Space Traveller (nap)
Place: Legends Of War
Longshot: Chuck Willis
Place: Blue Point
Longshot: Caspian Prince
Win: Sky Defender (nb)
Place: Beat Le Bon
Win: Crack On Crack On
From August 22, 2018 9.06 pm
Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2018, Day 2
It’s day two of the epic Ebor Festival.
Our tipster Dick Turpin couldn’t find a winner yesterday, but he still managed to walk away from Knavesmire slightly ahead of the bookies, with his main selections gaining a place in five out of six of the day’s races.
Today the Group 1 Yorkshire Oaks is the highlight. So what does the dandy highwayman reckon?
Little wonder that veteran commentator Brough Scott described yesterday’s Juddmonte as ‘the race of the season’, bringing victory to John Gosden’s Roaring Lion (with a beautiful ride from Oisin Murphy) at the main expense of my selection, the favourite Poet’s Word, writes tipster Turpin.
Christophe Soumillon’s tactic of edging Thunder Snow over to the stands rail, bringing the entire field across the track with him was a master-stroke, but it boxed in Poet’s Word and cost jockey James Doyle dear.
Nevertheless, there was no escaping the fact that the Knavesmire crowd saw two of the top three horses in the world battling it out in an event that will remain in the memory for years to come.
Today, I fully expect James Doyle to gain compensation for yesterday’s disappointment. He has excellent opportunities on all three of his rides, all for William Haggas.
In the big race, the Yorkshire Oaks (3.35), he partners Sea Of Class, who gets a 9lb pull over her main rival Coronet, last year’s runner-up. Listed race winner, Sea Of Class is looking for a four-timer, having impressed hugely in taking the Irish Oaks. Still on the upgrade, she is a confident nap selection.
Doyle has an excellent each-way opportunity on What A Home in the next, the Henry Cecil Galtres Stakes (4.15). The Dubawi filly Lah Ti Dah is the obvious choice and is hard to oppose, but, just as the big race yesterday provided an upset in running, What A Home should be in the shake-up, especially if there is anything other than a true galloping pace throughout the 1m3f.
Move Swiftly gives Doyle his third chance of a winner in the final race, the Fillies Handicap (4.50). Last year’s winner, Lincoln Rocks isn’t without a chance, now dropped in the weights. But it is the highly progressive three-year-old Move Swiftly who stands out.
Her Goodwood win three weeks ago saw her come from last to first, being blocked and later squeezed for room, going on to quicken up and win by an impressive margin. There is so much more to come from this one.
Win: Flawless Jewel
Place: Angel’s Hideaway
Longshot: The Mackem Bullet
Win: Sea Of Class (nap)
Longshot: Magic Wand
Win: Lah Ti Dah
Place: What A Home
Win: Move Swiftly (nb)
Place: Starlight Romance
Longshot: Lincoln Rocks
From August 22, 2018 12.02 pm
Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2018, Day 1
The tipsters’ table, York Races, Wednesday, August 22, 2018Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks
|Tipster/ race||Dick Turpin||Sun||Mirror||Daily Mail||Times||Telegraph||Guardian||Sporting Life||At The Races||GG.co.uk|
|1.55||Culturati||El Astronaute (nb)||Tommy Taylor||Final Venture||Tis Marvellous||Carlton Frankie||Holmeswood||Culturati||Tanasoq||Tis Marvellous|
|2.25||Watan||Watan||Phoenix of Spain||Persian Moon||Persian Moon||Swissterious||Watan||Watan||Watan||Broome|
|3.00||Kew Gardens (nb)||Cross Counter||Cross Counter (nap)||Cross Counter||Cross Counter||Cross Counter (nap)||Cross Counter||Kew Gardens (nao)||Wells Farhh Go||Cross Counter|
|3.35||Poet’s Word (nap)||Poet’s Word (nap)||Roaring Lion||Poet’s Word||Poet’s Word (nb)||Poet's Word||Poet’s Word (nap)||Poet's Word||Roaring Lion||Poetʼs Word|
|4.15||Genetics||Here And Now||Davy's Dilemma||Stormin Tom||Hochfeld (nap)||Northwest Frontier||Davy’s Dilemma (nb)||Speedo Boy||Northwest Frontier||Speedo Boy|
|4.50||Rathbone||Eljayeff||Don Armado||Evie Speed (nap)||Dark Shadow||Don Armado||Don Armado||Hesslewood||Blyton||Don Armado|
Some amazing sport lies ahead over the next four days of the Welcome to Yorkshire Ebor Festival.
With record prize money approaching £5 million, there’s a lot at stake. But if you’re to come away from the meeting with some cash of your own, who should you back?
Over to YorkMix‘s very own tipster, Dick Turpin…
No tipster will ever refer to a selection as a ‘certainty’, writes Turpin. So much can happen during a race, and no one relishes the idea of fleeing Knavesmire pursued by pitchfork-wielding disgruntled punters.
So, is today going to be the exception? Everything in the feature race, the 1m2f Juddmonte International Stakes (3.35) points towards just one result: victory for the Sir Michael Stoute-trained wonder horse, Poet’s Word.
Everything is going for it: the right trip, arriving here at the peak of fitness, and a top jockey, the ever-reliable James Doyle.
In the view of your trusty tipster, the five-year-old winner of Royal Ascot’s Prince Of Wales Stakes (not to mention the stunning result in the King George), Poet’s word is a cer…, ahem, is certain to be the one to beat this afternoon.
Is the younger cohort of three-year-olds, led by Roaring Lion and Saxon Warrior, good enough to challenge the sheer class of the Irish-bred descendent of Nashwan? Time will tell. But Turpin’s shirt will be on Poet’s Word. Celebrations (or commiserations) will be held in The Swan, Bishy Road.
Kew Gardens looks the one to be on in the testing 1m3f Great Voltigeur Stakes (3.00). Since a disappointing ninth in the Derby, Aidan O’Brien’s Galileo colt has done everything asked of him with a classy Group One win in France, and success in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot.
One slight concern is the 5lb penalty which is enough to sow a slight seed of doubt. But he performs best with Ryan Moore on board, and looks a good thing today (and also for the St Leger at the end of the season).
Main rivals, Cross Counter and Wells Farhh Go, are respected, but may have reached their seasonal peak, while the selection has further improvement to come.
The Galileo connection, represented by Eye Of The Storm, could again prove to be a value each way pointer in the Sky Bet Handicap (4.15). Likely winner should come from Genetics, Hochfield or Soldier In Action.
Place: El Astronaute
Longshot: Tommy Taylor
Place: Persian Moon
Win: Kew Gardens (nb)
Place: Cross Counter
Longshot: Wells Farhh Go
Win: Poet’s Word (nap)
Place: Roaring Lion
Place: Eye Of The Storm
Longshot: Soldier In Action
Longshot: Dark Shadow