Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2018, Day 4

Nothing to match it – the Ebor Festival. Photograph: Tim Goode/PA Wire
25 Aug 2018 @ 10.46 am
| Sport

The tipsters’ table, York Races, Saturday, August 25, 2018

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunDaily MailTimesTelegraphGuardianSporting LifeAt The RacesGG.co.uk
1.50Lord GlittersMustashry (treble)MustashryThreadingSeniorityLord GlittersLord GlittersLord GlittersLord Glitters
2.25Making MiraclesSupernovaMaking MiraclesCoolongolookShuhoodSupernova (nap)Heart Of GraceHeart Of GraceMaking Miracles
3.00Expert Eye (nb)Expert Eye (nap)SuedoisExpert EyeExpert EyeExpert EyeExpert EyeExpert EyeExpert Eye
3.40Stratum (nap)Dylan MouthCrowned Eagle (nap)Crowned EagleTeodoroBlakeney Point (nb)Blakeney Point (nap)NakeetaBlakeney Point
4.15Well Done FoxSabreSabreChapelliVintage BrutChapelliSabreSabreSabre
4.50PivoineExhortPivoineThomas Cranmer (nap)Society RedThomas CranmerKings GiftAlfarrisCommunique
5.20Marnie JamesRoundhay ParkSavalas (nb)Eeh Bah GumSavalasRoundhay ParkBengali BoysRoundhay ParkMarnie James

It’s Sky Bet Ebor Saturday, where the feature contest for four year olds and upwards becomes the joint richest flat handicap in Europe with prize money of £500,000.

But will you make any money? Here’s where your cash should go according to YorkMix tipster Dick Turpin…

Today’s feature race, the Sky Bet Ebor (3.40) attracts the cream of Britain’s middle-distance handicappers in an intriguing contest, Turpin writes.

There are positives and negatives hanging over all the leading candidates: Weekender (Dettori aboard, but can the Frankel colt defy top weight, a tall order); Blakeney Point (last season’s promise hasn’t yet materialised, and the gelding is now back up in trip, but could the addition of blinkers be the answer; Crowned Eagle (a switch in stables has worked wonders, but has he hit his peak, might not be quite good enough); Sea The Lion (hard to believe, but this seven-year-old continues to improve, but has the handicapper hit him too hard with an 11lb rise for his latest Curragh victory).

And so it goes on for the likes of Whiskey Sour, Nakeeta and Teodoro. And the selection is… Stratum. Willie Mullins’ five-year-old appears to have all the stamina credentials.

Proven at the distance (won a big Newbury handicap over 16.5f) when application of the hood seemed to do the trick. An 8lb rise for that victory still leaves the gelding at the bottom of this handicap, a full 10lb below the top rated entrants.

Turpin would normally say this race is best watched and enjoyed from the stands rather than in the betting ring. But this is the Ebor – and different rules apply. It’s time to plunge. Stratum for me!

Turpin’s tips


Win: Lord Glitters
Place: Zaaki
Longshot: Threading


Win: Making Miracles
Place: Supernova
Longshot: Berkshire Blue


Win: Expert Eye (nb)
Place: Suedois
Longshot: Arbalet


Win: Stratum (nap)
Place: Crowned Eagle
Longshot: Dylan Mouth


Win: Well Done Fox
Place: Chapelli
Longshot: I Believe In You


Win: Pivoine
Place: Communique
Longshot: Society Red


Win: Marnie James
Place: Roundhay Park
Longshot: Fool For You

Poetʼs Society ridden by Frankie Dettori (centre right) before winning the Clipper Logistics Handicap to give trainer Mark Johnston the title of winning-most trainer in British history. Photograph: Tim Goode/PA Wire

From August 24, 2018 9.16 am

Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2018, Day 3

The tipsters’ table, York Races, Friday, August 24, 2018

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunMirrorDaily MailTimesTelegraphGuardianSporting LifeAt The RacesGG.co.uk
1.55Melting DewMaori BobMister BelvederePacify (nap)First NationFirst NationErik The Red (nap)Kelly's DinoErik The RedMelting Dew
3.00Space Traveller (nap)Legends Of WarLegends Of War (nb)The Irish RoverSpace Traveller (nap)Legends of WarChuck WillisThe Irish RoverSpace TravellerShine So Bright
3.35BattaashBattaashBattaashBattaashMabs Cross (nb)BattaashBattaashBattaash (nap)BattaashBattaash
4.15Sky Defender (nb)Beat Le BonBeat Le BonSky DefenderSky DefenderBarysBeat Le BonSky DefenderBeat Le BonSky Defender
4.50Crack On Crack OnBorodin (nap)Ulshaw BridgeSilver QuartzCrack On Crack OnCrack On Crack OnUlshaw Bridge (nb)KassarBorodinCrack On Crack On

It was a game of two halves for punters at Knavesmire on Day Two of the Ebor meeting.

Three hot favourites obliged and three outsiders triumphed (at 14/1, 20/1 and 33/1).

But the one result that overshadowed all others was Frankie Dettori’s enterprising front-running ride on Poet’s Society (20/1) in the Clipper Logistics, bringing Middleham trainer Mark Johnston his 4,194th winner – the record for any British trainer.

Card image cap

York puts on the style for a record-breaking Ladies Day

Since his first York victory in 1991, Knavesmire has been a happy hunting ground for the affable Scot.

Today he saddles just two unfancied horses (Caplin in the 4.15 maiden race, and Aquarium in the last race Handicap), and one with a real chance, Sky Defender, also in the 4.15. So we might not have to wait too long to see him add to his record-breaking tally.

Meanwhile, YorkMix’s resident tipster Dick Turpin has been studying the form to bring you these suggestions.

Stradivarius (in the 2.25 Lonsdale Cup Stakes) and Battaash (in the mad five-furlong dash that is the Nunthorpe Stakes at 3.35) both look nailed on to triumph at short odds, writes tipster Turpin.

As ever, I am looking for the value bets of the day, and these appear to come with Space Traveller in the Gimcrack (3.00), and Mark Johnston’s Sky Defender in the Convivial Maiden Stakes (4.15).

Space Traveller, with Daniel Tudhope aboard, is the pick, following two impressive runs, winning at Doncaster and Hamilton (over five furlongs and an extended six-furlongs). This smart two-year-old with breeding links to Derby-winner Galileo is likely to develop into a strong middle-distance performer. Today should be one more stepping stone on that journey.

Sky Defender (4.15) will have come on hugely for his debut second place at Goodwood, and has the beating of likely rivals Beat Le Bon and Commanding Officer.

Turpin’s tips


Win: Melting Dew
Place: First Nation
Longshot: Mukhayyam


Win: Stradivarius
Place: Red Verdon
Longshot: Desert Skyline


Win: Space Traveller (nap)
Place: Legends Of War
Longshot: Chuck Willis


Win: Battaash
Place: Blue Point
Longshot: Caspian Prince


Win: Sky Defender (nb)
Place: Beat Le Bon
Longshot: Barys


Win: Crack On Crack On
Place: Nicklaus
Longshot: Borodin

From August 22, 2018 9.06 pm

Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2018, Day 2

It’s day two of the epic Ebor Festival.

Our tipster Dick Turpin couldn’t find a winner yesterday, but he still managed to walk away from Knavesmire slightly ahead of the bookies, with his main selections gaining a place in five out of six of the day’s races.

Today the Group 1 Yorkshire Oaks is the highlight. So what does the dandy highwayman reckon?

Little wonder that veteran commentator Brough Scott described yesterday’s Juddmonte as ‘the race of the season’, bringing victory to John Gosden’s Roaring Lion (with a beautiful ride from Oisin Murphy) at the main expense of my selection, the favourite Poet’s Word, writes tipster Turpin.

Christophe Soumillon’s tactic of edging Thunder Snow over to the stands rail, bringing the entire field across the track with him was a master-stroke, but it boxed in Poet’s Word and cost jockey James Doyle dear.

Nevertheless, there was no escaping the fact that the Knavesmire crowd saw two of the top three horses in the world battling it out in an event that will remain in the memory for years to come.

Today, I fully expect James Doyle to gain compensation for yesterday’s disappointment. He has excellent opportunities on all three of his rides, all for William Haggas.

In the big race, the Yorkshire Oaks (3.35), he partners Sea Of Class, who gets a 9lb pull over her main rival Coronet, last year’s runner-up. Listed race winner, Sea Of Class is looking for a four-timer, having impressed hugely in taking the Irish Oaks. Still on the upgrade, she is a confident nap selection.

Doyle has an excellent each-way opportunity on What A Home in the next, the Henry Cecil Galtres Stakes (4.15). The Dubawi filly Lah Ti Dah is the obvious choice and is hard to oppose, but, just as the big race yesterday provided an upset in running, What A Home should be in the shake-up, especially if there is anything other than a true galloping pace throughout the 1m3f.

Move Swiftly gives Doyle his third chance of a winner in the final race, the Fillies Handicap (4.50). Last year’s winner, Lincoln Rocks isn’t without a chance, now dropped in the weights. But it is the highly progressive three-year-old Move Swiftly who stands out.

Her Goodwood win three weeks ago saw her come from last to first, being blocked and later squeezed for room, going on to quicken up and win by an impressive margin. There is so much more to come from this one.

Turpin’s tips


Win: Flawless Jewel
Place: Angel’s Hideaway
Longshot: The Mackem Bullet


Win: He’Zanarab
Place: Masaru
Longshot: Fanaar


Win: Firmament
Place: Seniority
Longshot: Kynren


Win: Sea Of Class (nap)
Place: Coronet
Longshot: Magic Wand


Win: Lah Ti Dah
Place: What A Home
Longshot: Alwaysandforever


Win: Move Swiftly (nb)
Place: Starlight Romance
Longshot: Lincoln Rocks

From August 22, 2018 12.02 pm

Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2018, Day 1

The tipsters’ table, York Races, Wednesday, August 22, 2018

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunMirrorDaily MailTimesTelegraphGuardianSporting LifeAt The RacesGG.co.uk
1.55CulturatiEl Astronaute (nb)Tommy TaylorFinal VentureTis MarvellousCarlton FrankieHolmeswoodCulturatiTanasoqTis Marvellous
2.25WatanWatanPhoenix of SpainPersian MoonPersian MoonSwissteriousWatanWatanWatanBroome
3.00Kew Gardens (nb)Cross CounterCross Counter (nap)Cross CounterCross CounterCross Counter (nap)Cross CounterKew Gardens (nao)Wells Farhh GoCross Counter
3.35Poet’s Word (nap)Poet’s Word (nap)Roaring LionPoet’s WordPoet’s Word (nb)Poet's WordPoet’s Word (nap)Poet's WordRoaring LionPoetʼs Word
4.15GeneticsHere And NowDavy's DilemmaStormin TomHochfeld (nap)Northwest FrontierDavy’s Dilemma (nb)Speedo BoyNorthwest FrontierSpeedo Boy
4.50RathboneEljayeffDon ArmadoEvie Speed (nap)Dark ShadowDon ArmadoDon ArmadoHesslewoodBlytonDon Armado

Some amazing sport lies ahead over the next four days of the Welcome to Yorkshire Ebor Festival.

With record prize money approaching £5 million, there’s a lot at stake. But if you’re to come away from the meeting with some cash of your own, who should you back?

Over to YorkMix‘s very own tipster, Dick Turpin…

No tipster will ever refer to a selection as a ‘certainty’, writes Turpin. So much can happen during a race, and no one relishes the idea of fleeing Knavesmire pursued by pitchfork-wielding disgruntled punters.

So, is today going to be the exception? Everything in the feature race, the 1m2f Juddmonte International Stakes (3.35) points towards just one result: victory for the Sir Michael Stoute-trained wonder horse, Poet’s Word.

Everything is going for it: the right trip, arriving here at the peak of fitness, and a top jockey, the ever-reliable James Doyle.

In the view of your trusty tipster, the five-year-old winner of Royal Ascot’s Prince Of Wales Stakes (not to mention the stunning result in the King George), Poet’s word is a cer…, ahem, is certain to be the one to beat this afternoon.

Is the younger cohort of three-year-olds, led by Roaring Lion and Saxon Warrior, good enough to challenge the sheer class of the Irish-bred descendent of Nashwan? Time will tell. But Turpin’s shirt will be on Poet’s Word. Celebrations (or commiserations) will be held in The Swan, Bishy Road.

Kew Gardens looks the one to be on in the testing 1m3f Great Voltigeur Stakes (3.00). Since a disappointing ninth in the Derby, Aidan O’Brien’s Galileo colt has done everything asked of him with a classy Group One win in France, and success in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot.

One slight concern is the 5lb penalty which is enough to sow a slight seed of doubt. But he performs best with Ryan Moore on board, and looks a good thing today (and also for the St Leger at the end of the season).

Main rivals, Cross Counter and Wells Farhh Go, are respected, but may have reached their seasonal peak, while the selection has further improvement to come.

The Galileo connection, represented by Eye Of The Storm, could again prove to be a value each way pointer in the Sky Bet Handicap (4.15). Likely winner should come from Genetics, Hochfield or Soldier In Action.

Turpin’s tips


Win: Culturati
Place: El Astronaute
Longshot: Tommy Taylor


Win: Watan
Place: Persian Moon
Longshot: Swissterious


Win: Kew Gardens (nb)
Place: Cross Counter
Longshot: Wells Farhh Go


Win: Poet’s Word (nap)
Place: Roaring Lion
Longshot: Benbatl


Win: Genetics
Place: Eye Of The Storm
Longshot: Soldier In Action


Win: Rathbone
Place: Moyassar
Longshot: Dark Shadow