Who’ll win at York Races: Saturday, June 14, 2014?

Crazy horses… Photograph © Frances A Spencer on Flickr
13 Jun 2014 @ 10.32 am
| Sport
Crazy horses… Photograph © Frances A Spencer on Flickr
Crazy horses… Photograph © Frances A Spencer on Flickr

The tipsters' table, York Races, Saturday, June 14, 2014

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

TipsterDick TurpinRacing PostAt The RacesGG.comTelegraphThe TimesThe Guardian
2.05Tiger LillyCrackentorpKings BayonetPearl CastleRio's RosannaSaptapadiPearl Castle
2.40FlowFlowFuryFlowSpa's DancerFurySweet Lightning
3.15Fencing (Nap)Guest Of HonourDutch RoseFencingDutch RoseGuest Of HonourLockwood
3.50Eastern ImpactDanzenoBetimesDanzenoEastern ImpactCharles Molson (nb)Almargo
4.25Dakota CanyonAnderiegoBishop's CastleRun Fat Lass RunDakota CanyonSophisticate HeirSophisticated Heir
5.00PallisterPallisterIntiwinIntiwinPallisterPallisterPallister
5.35Line Of ReasonMaster BondMaster BondMon BravMon BravDark CastleBachoteque

Turpin was on cracking form on Friday (June 13), tipping three winners: Press Rapide (5/6), Connecticut (6/4) and Saved By The Bell (4/1). One of his seven tipped horse was a non-runner, but three out of six is an excellent haul by any standard.

Can he do the same today?

Turpin marks your card

Could this be Malton trainer Richard Fahey’s big day? Turpin certainly believes it might. A double, treble or even a four-timer are on the cards…

2.05

I fully expect the estimable Richard Fahey to open his account with bottom-weighted Tiger Lilly, who impressed mightily on her debut win at Thirsk last month. Likely favourite Pearl Castle is an obvious danger, as is King’s Bayonet.

Could Fahey’s Mica Mike scrape a place at long odds? Possible, reckons Turpin.

Win: Tiger Lilly; EW: Kings Bayonet; Longshot: Mica Mika

2.40

Tremendously competitive extended mile handicap with at least seven of the 13 runners with good claims. Flow and Fury should be battling it out, with Tarikhi a possible contender for Kieron Fallon, but the lack of a race so far this season rules him out for Turpin.

Could Maven spring a surprise for the Easterby yard? That’s possible too.

Win: Flow; EW: Fury; Longshot: Maven

3.15

Is a mile the answer for likely favourite Lockwood? The Fallon-bin Suroor charge should always be respected, but something tells Turpin that the distance is a step too far, especially against Frankie Dettori aboard the Gosden flying machine, Fencing. The ground should suit… and promising outings at Windsor and Ascot suggest that today might be the day for it all to come good.

So, we are taking a chance and ignoring Lockwood and pinning everything on Frankie. Guest Of Honour has strong appeal on the strength of an early-season fourth at Doncaster.

Win: Fencing (Nap); EW: Guest Of Honour; Longshot: Dutch Rose

3.50

This race might be best enjoyed as a spectacle, rather than a chance to trouser some of the bookies’ lovely lolly.

Turpin takes Eastern Impact to add to the Fahey account, largely on the strength of the narrow defeat of Fear Or Favour at Newmarket a couple of weeks ago. Danzeno is an obvious choice too, but might not represent good value in a very wide-open red hot sprint.

Mick Channon’s Kickboxer is Turpin’s idea of an improving horse that could spring a big surprise at very long odds.

Win: Eastern Impact; EW: Danzeno; Longshot: Kickboxer

4.25

Again, Mr Fahey looks to have a strong hand here with Dakota Canyon; a number of recent second-place runs is, admittedly, a concern. But there’s nowhere better than Knavesmire to make a big statement.

It would be a natural progression from very good recent runs at Hamilton, Beverley and Carlisle. The Easterby-trained gelding, Barren Brook, has a sound claim after last month’s Nottingham victory. The main question here is whether the extended mile is a tad short for him.

Win: Dakota Canyon (nb); EW: Barren Brook; Longshot: Cool Music

5.00

Turpin expects the Fahey yard to have a great day. But, strangely, in this 10-runner event, where the Malton trainer saddles no fewer than five mounts, your favourite highwayman expects him to lose out to Middleham’s Mark Johnston whose Pallister looks the right sort for this competitive six-furlong maiden event.

Fahey’s likely favourite, Intiwin, and Super Quick make most appeal from his nap hand of entries.

Win: Pallister; EW: Intiwin; Longshot: Super Quick

5.35

Kieron Fallon is just the man to get Line Of Reason home here, at the main expense of Commanche and likely favourite Mon Brav. Ella’s Delight caught the eye with a Doncaster win last month and looks the best long-odds chance.

Win: Line Of Reason; EW: Commanche; Longshot: Ella’s Delight

 
 


June 13, 2014

Who’ll win at York Races, Friday, June 13, 2014?

The tipsters' table, York Races, Friday, June 13, 2014

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

TipsterDick TurpinRacing PostAt The RacesSunGG.comTelegraphThe TimesThe Guardian
2.00Pres RapidePres RapidePres RapidePres RapideAl GomryPres RapideAl GomryAl Gomry
2.30ConnecticutArabian CometConnecticutConnecticutTabreekConnecticutConnecticut (nap)Arabian Comet (nap)
3.05Penny RaceBinky BlueStudio StarAtreusStudio StarAtreusPenny RaceStudio Star
3.40Kalk Bay (Nap)Dubai HillsEscape To GloryDusky QueenDusky QueenSmarty SocksKalk BayEscape To Glory
4.10Royal RascalLove IslandMaid A MillionLove IslandLove IslandRoyal RascalMisplaced FortuneRocksilla
4.40PhaenomenaGrandorioPhaenomenaPhaenomenaBin SingspielTotalizeDr IrvGrandorio
5.15Saved By The Bell (nb)Saved By The BellSaved By The BellSioux ChieftainSaved By The BellHigh OfficeHigh OfficeProphesy

Turpin marks your card

YorkMix tipster Dick Turpin returns sporting something of a suntan, thanks to a well-earned break paid for by the bookies from his four-winner haul on the final day of the Dante meeting. Can he do as well for the two-day June meeting?

2.00

Don’t be surprised if the winner comes from one of the five unraced entries in this maiden race. Likely favourite Pres Rapide makes most appeal on the strength of a good second on his debut at Mussleburgh. But money talks too – and the 150,000-guinea newcomer Al Gomry looks a likely contender for Richard Fahey, and is likely to make a good showing.

Fast Lola appeals to fill the third place slot.

Win: Pres Rapide; EW: Al Gomry; Longshot: Fast Lola

2.30

Arabian Comet has solid claims, but faces stiffer opposition than ever before. Tabreek and Connecticut look the likeliest rivals, with Andrea Atzeni’s mount for Luca Cumani looking like my idea of the winner. The Rock Of Gibraltar connection to Peter Chapple-Hyam’s Farquhar earns the colt a vote to challenge for a place at nice odds.

Win: Connecticut; EW: Arabian Comet; Longshot: Farquhar

3.05

Studio Star, Izzthatright and Cafe Cortado will vie for favouritism. But it is Mick Channon’s newcomer, Penny Race, that will carry the weight of Turpin’s bid for a big-priced winner. A fascinating contest is in store.

Win: Penny Race; EW: Studio Star; Longshot: Izzthatright

3.40

Smarty Socks landed the spoils for the Tudhope-O’Meara partnership last year and would be a popular winner if they can repeat that feat. But it’s a tougher task this time, with strong claims from recent course and distance Dante winner Dusky Queen and Marco Botti’s Foxtrot Romeo.

But Turpin always likes to take a chance, and plumps instead for the highly promising Kalk Bay which carries the hopes of the Easterby-Gibbons partnership. Something tells this old highwayman that a big career is just starting to get going.

Win: Kalk Bay (Nap); EW: Escape To Glory; Longshot: True Pleasure

4.10

The market will be the strongest indicator here, with solid claims from both Love Island and Royal Rascal, narrowly favoured by Turpin. If you are seeking an upset at very long odds, David Elsworth’s Maid A Million might be the one to do it.

Win: Royal Rascal; EW: Love Island; Longshot: Maid A Million

4.40

Sometimes there’s no avoiding a favourite. Phaenomena fits the bill, and it’s hard to see anything stopping the top weight Galileo filly from scooping this 1m6f handicap.

Win: Phaenomena; EW: Bin Singspiel; Longshot: Dr Irv

5.15

Don’t disappear before the last race. Saved By The Bell is a confident choice, after Turpin witnessed its super win at Ripon just a few days ago. When a horse runs into form do not oppose. Sam James should trot up for a three-timer on this clear top-rated O’Meara gelding.

Win: Saved By The Bell (nb); EW: Pertemps Networks; Longshot: Harmonic Lady