Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2017, Day 4

The tipsters’ table, York Races, Saturday, August 26, 2017

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunMirrorDaily MailTimesTelegraphAt The RacesGG.co.ukGuardian
1.55MondialisteMustashryMondialisteMondialisteMustashryMustashry (nap)MondialisteMondialisteMustashry
2.25On To VictorySecret AdvisorIntellectNorthwest FrontierSecret AdvisorWinston CBin BattutaSecret AdvisorIntellect
3.00Invincible Army (nb)Frozen AngelHeadway (nb)CardsharpHeadway (nb)Invincible ArmyHeadwayCardsharpHeadway (nb)
3.35Magic Circle (nap)Magic CircleTop Tug (nap)Magic Circle (nap)FlymetothestarsIvan GroznyDubkaIvan GroznyBattersea (nap)
4.10Bengali BoysKoditimeTo WafijBengali BoysAbel HandyBengali BoysTo WafijBengali BoysBengali Boys
4.40KhairaatUae PrinceKhairaatBroroccoBaydarUae PrinceUae PrinceKhairaatUae Prince
5.15HolmeswoodTahooBatten The HatchesHolmeswoodCopper KnightCopper KnightCopper KnightHolmeswoodMayleaf Shine

It’s the climax of the Ebor meeting today (Saturday, August 26), with 50,000 race fans expected at Knavesmire to see one of the sport’s great spectacles, as 22 runners battle it out for the £177,412 first prize in the 3.35 feature race.

Our resident tipster Dick Turpin had a great day yesterday, with 8-1 and 3-1 winners, plus selections that made the frame at 7-1 and 14-1.

And he’s back to help you give the bookies another bashing. Over to you Dick.

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Turpin writes:

There is a huge word for Star Storm in the feature Betfred Ebor Handicap (3.35), and the long-priced (at the time of writing 12-1 from 25-1) does appear to have the right stuff, after an eye-catching third at Royal Ascot last time out.

A significant improvement in the ground will also add to the clamour for James Fanshawe’s five-year-old offspring of Sea The Stars.

But is he good enough? There’s plenty to suggest he will not have things his own way, but there should be little to fear from likely market leaders Flymetothestars and Ivan Grozny. Only one favourite has won this event since 1999, which bodes badly for those two.

Turpin’s preference is for Magic Circle (currently 8-1), already a winner here this week, in Wednesday’s energy-sapping 2m Fine Equinity Handicap.

Today’s trip is two furlongs shorter, and for a horse in form, a second appearance in a week should be well within his scope.

Andover trainer Ralph Beckett should make the long trip here worthwhile, as long as there is a true pace throughout, Turpin expects to collect, and Harry Bentley’s mount should be worth a major each-way punt. Of the others, Scarlet Dragon, Dubka and Top Tug make the most appeal.

Likely favourite, Headway, in the Gimcrack Stakes (3.00) was a disappointing sixth in the Richmond Stakes at Goodwood, behind Nebo (runner-up that day). Turpin expects those places to be confirmed today, despite the strong opinion of respected observers who are choosing to ignore the Goodwood form, blaming the soft conditions.

Turpin much prefers Invincible Army, who appears to act on any going, in a race where a decent case could be made for at least five of the field of 12.

Young Newmarket trainer James Tate is proving to be one of the brightest stars in the game and Invincible Army looks a type to have significantly more improvement in him in what promises to be a very close contest.

Turpin’s tips

1.55
Win: Mondialiste
Place: Mustashry

2.25
Win: On To Victory
Place: Intellect
Longshot: Dominating

3.00
Win: Invincible Army (n.b.)
Place: Headway
Longshot: Nobleman’s Nest

3.35
Win: Magic Circle (Nap)
Place: Scarlet Dragon
Longshot: Star Storm

4.10
Win: Bengali Boys
Place: Elizabeth Darcy
Longshot: Sound And Silence

4.40
Win: Khairaat
Place: Weekend Offender
Longshot: Beardwood

5.15
Win: Holmeswood
Place: Batten The Hatches
Longshot: Copper Knight


From August 25, 2017 8.51 am

Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2017, Day 3

The tipsters’ table, York Races, Friday, August 25, 2017

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunMirrorDaily MailTimesTelegraphAt The RacesGG.co.ukSporting Life
1.55Red Galileo (nb)Game StarterAppearedAl NekshAl Neksh (nb)Game StarterAppearedAppearedAl Neksh
2.25St MichelDal Harraild (nap)Thomas Hobson (nb)Dal Harraild (nap)Dal HarraildDartmouthDartmouthDartmouthDal Harraild
3.00Daban (nap)DabanSo BelovedSo BelovedRusumaatDabanDabanSuedoisEscobar
3.35MarshaBattaash (nb)Lady Aurelia (nap)Lady AureliaBattaashLady AureliaLady AureliaLady AureliaBattaash (nap)
4.15DoswellGabrDoswellGabrCapital FlightDoswellCapital FlightGabrDoswell
4.50MojitoMojitoMojitoMedahimAppointed (nap)MojitoMojitoMedahimSyphax

It’s day three of the prestigous Ebor Festival, which features York’s fastest race, the Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes.

YorkMix tipster had an 8/1 winner in Thursday’s last race. What is he backing today?

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Turpin writes:

The clash of the day comes in the Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (3.35), the highest-rated 1,000m (5f) sprint in the world.

Superstars Battaash and Lady Aurelia are widely expected to fill the top slots, but they won’t have it all their own way in a glittering field of 12.

Marsha stands out as the one to cause an upset, following last season’s win in the prestigious Prix de l’Abbaye, followed up in May with a stunning victory under a weight penalty in the Palace House Stakes.

The news from Sir Mark Prescott’s yard is that the four-year-old Acclamation filly has regained her form and has an outstanding chance, which is what value-seekers crave.

Take nothing away from Battaash (Jim Crowley on board), seeking a four-timer, but Charles Hills’ youngster is untried in Group One company.

Similarly, Lady Aurelia (Frankie Dettori) is hard to oppose, following her stunning victory last year in the Queen Mary at Royal ascot, and an even more spectacular win in this year’s King’s Stand Stakes. But this will be her second trip over from the States this year, and that always raises a doubt.

Marsha is a tentative selection, but the short prices around the two principals, should mean great value for each-way backers.

In the First Race Special Handicap (1.55), Saeed bin Suroor looks to hold the best hand with Red Galileo now that Game Starter is a non-runner.

Top weight course-and-distance winner Appeared is a genuine sort and could make the frame, with fit-again Al Neksh a contender too.

The question in the Lonsdale (2.25) is whether Willie Mullins’ Thomas Hobson has sufficient improvement in him to land this testing two-miler. Enterprising runs at Royal Ascot suggest he will be thereabouts, but the value bet may lie with St Michel, a handsome Sea The Stars colt who impressed when going close in a similar contest in the US in June.

The City of York Stakes (3.00) looks tailor-made for the Gosden/Dettori partnership on Daban, another offspring of Acclamation.

Winner of the Nell Gwyn, and fine showings in the 1,000 Guineas and the Jersey Stakes, suggest this 7f presents the perfect opportunity to shine. But she won’t have it all her own way; strong support for Suedois or So Beloved should be noted.

And never forget Mark Johnston at York. His Rusumaat is stepping up a grade today, with Jim Crowley aboard, and might offer the best value in a tricky contest.

The Convivial Maiden Stakes (4.15) presents the trickiest contest of the day, with seven of the 20 runners racing for the first time.

With so many unknowns, and precious little form to go on, the answer may well lie in the market place, headed by John Gosden’s Doswell, narrowly beaten on his first outing at Newmarket last month. Small stakes are advised!

The final race (4.50) should see Mojito, Battered, Horroob and La Rav battling it out close home. Word from the Haggas yard is that Mojito is primed to make it a three-timer, following tidy wins at Sandown and Newmarket.

La Rav was unlucky on the all-weather (Chelmsford) last time out, so his third place there can be discounted. Earlier wins at Salisbury and Newbury suggest this distance, just short of a mile, will give him a major chance.

Again, don’t forget Mark Johnston; he saddles top weight Montataire, returning after a break of more than three months.

Turpin’s tips

1.55
Win: Red Galileo (n.b.)
Place: Appeared
Longshot: Al Neksh

2.25
Win: St Michel
Place: Thomas Hobson
Longshot: Higher Power

3.00
Win: Daban (nap)
Place: So Beloved
Longshot: Rusumaat

3.35
Win: Marsha
Place: Lady Aurelia
Longshot: Bataash

4.15
Win: Doswell
Place: Laugh A Minute
Longshot: Sam Gold

4.50
Win: Mojito
Place: La Rav
Longshot: Monataire


From August 24, 2017 9.31 am

Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2017, Day 2

The tipsters’ table, York Races, Thursday, August 24, 2017

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunMirrorDaily MailTimesTelegraphGuardianAt The RacesGG.co.uk
1.55Hey JonesyDe Bruyne HorseHey JonesyHey JonesyTangledHey JonesyGreat ProspectorDe Bruyne HorseDe Bruyne Horse
2.25Madeline (nap)ActressHappy Like A FoolMadelineNaturalMadeline (nb)Madeline (nb)MadelineActress
3.00Chelsea LadChelsea Lad (nap)El Vip (nb)Victory Bond (nap)QassemVictory BondFlaming SpearChelsea LadVictory Bond
3.35EnableEnableEnableEnableEnableEnableEnableEnableEnable
4.15Mori (nb)Mori (nb)MoriMoriCurlew RiverMoriCurlew RiverMoriMori
4.50Lincoln RocksGheedaa (treble)Gheedaa (nap)Breakable (nb)Cristal FizzCristal FizzWhispered Kiss (nap)Cristal FizzCristal Fizz

Ulysees was a healthy 4/1 nap for Turpin in a fantastic Juddmonte showpiece yesterday, ending a long, troubled run for our highwayman tipster.

n his defence, the old rogue cites the unpredictable weather which affected the going and hampered the chances of many fancied runners.

Better weather – and firmer going – is likely today, as Knavesmire hosts the Lowther Stakes and the Darley Yorkshire Oaks on Ladies Day.

And, as all the ladies love Dick, it’s over to you Mr Turpin…

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Turpin writes:

The Yorkshire Oaks (3.35) looks to be at the mercy of Enable, a fine winner of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot.

The only question-mark is which of the other five runners will make the frame for the forecast. Preference is for Queen’s Trust, third here last year, and preferred, just, to Nezwaah, already a big-race winner, yet to be tested over 1m4f.

Threading and Special Purpose are expected to take the step up in class in their stride for the Lowther Stakes (2.25).

Both have strong claims; but preference is for the seriously progressive Madeline.

An impressive fifth in the Albany, and a subsequent victor over six furlongs at Newbury, Roger Varian’s filly looks made of the right stuff and rates the nap choice.

Earlier, Yorkshire’s hopes in the opener (1.55) are headed by Hey Jonesey, a course-and-distance winner last month, with a performance that looked to have some scope for improvement.

Richard Hannon’s Tangled and De Bruyne Horse, are both respected, the latter the likeliest threat, having won well in France.

Richard Fahey saddles five, yes five, in the field of 20, with Great Prospector having the strongest claims on form; but Fahey’s Darkanna, at the bottom of the weights, could represent cracking value for longshot backers.

Turpin reckons Chelsea Lad was a little unlucky in defeat here last month and looks set for a big race on his return in the Clipper Logistics Handicap (3.00).

Victory Bond was behind him then, and with the weights against him there is little to suggest those placings will be altered. Ronald R also looked a tad unlucky in the Britannia at Ascot, and represents a big threat to the selection.

Value-seekers need look no further than Quixote, a winner at Haydock in April, and cleverly lined up here by the shrewd Sheriff Hutton trainer Mick Easterby. Should go well at a big price.

Mori is likely to justify favouritism in the Galtres Stakes (4.15), and Turpin can see nothing to stand in the way of Sir Michael Stoute’s Frankel colt, only just touched off in the Ribblesdale at Ascot.

Two victories at 1m2f, suggest that the extra distance will present little difficulty. Lightly-raced Aljezeera (Frankie Dettori) looks a good forecast choice.

A cracking fillies handicap (4.50) to finish what promises to be a great day. Watch carefully for any strong moves in the market, as there are at least six with great claims.

Cristal Fizz, Lincoln Rocks, Whispered Kiss, Ghadaayer, Gheeda and Breakable all have claims; but none of the form is overwhelming.

In short, it’s one for the pinstickers! Turpin’s narrow preference is for top-weight Lincoln Rocks, twice a winner this season. The Rock Of Gibraltar filly looks well capable of giving weight all round to her rivals.

Turpin’s tips

1.55

Win: Hey Jonesy
Place: De Bruyne Horse
Longshot: Darkanna

2.25

Win: Madeline (nap)
Place: Threading
Longshot: Special Purpose

3.00

Win: Chelsea Lad
Place: Ronald R
Longshot: Quixote

3.35

Win: Enable
Place: Queen’s Trust

4.15

Win: Mori (n.b.)
Place: Aljezeera
Longshot: More Mischief

4.50

Win: Lincoln Rocks
Place: Cristal Fizz
Longshot: Whispered Kiss


From August 23, 2017 10.25 am

Who’ll win at York Races? Tips for the Ebor Festival 2017, Day 1

The tipsters’ table, York Races, Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Who's tipping what: scroll horizontally to see all the picks

Tipster/ raceDick TurpinSunMirrorTimesTelegraphGuardianAt The RacesGG.co.uk
1.55AmomentofmadnessEdward LewisMoviestaThesme (nap)Verne CastleRobot BoyEl AstronauteOrionʼs Bow
2.25Dee Ex Bee (nb)Lansky (nb)Dee Ex BeeLanskyFleet ReviewFleet ReviewWells Farhh GoJames Garfield
3.00Mirage Dancer (nap)Cracksman (treble)CracksmanMirage DancerCracksman (nb)Venice BeachCracksmanCracksman
3.35Ulysses (nap)UlyssesUlysses (nb)Barney RoyBarney RoyUlyssesChurchillChurchill
4.15YorkiddingMagic Circle (nap)My RewardEuchen Glen (nb)SeamourShrewd (nb)Magic CircleYorkidding
4.50EtefaaqSavalasGreen FortuneSavalasTathmeenKalagiaGreen FortuneEtefaaq

At last. It’s the Ebor meeting. Top marks to William Derby and his brilliant team at Knavesmire for producing one of the high points of the European racing calendar.

Today’s feature races, The Great Voltigeur (3.00), with £96,407 to the winner, and the Juddmonte, with an amazing £567,100 to the victor, are world-class events, rightly viewed a jewel in the crown of the sport of kings.

The mere mention of jewels is enough to gain the interest of our resident rogue, the highwayman tipster, Dick Turpin.

So what does our big Dick reckon?

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Turpin writes:

Followers of David O’Meara’s Out Do in the first (1.55), successful in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot, and twice here two seasons ago, should look instead to O’Meara’s other three runners: Move In Time, Watchable and Edward Lewis.

With four to choose from, Daniel Tudhope has shunned the dual 2015 course and distance winner and subsequent Wokingham victor at Royal Ascot.

He wisely opts for the four-year-old gelding Edward Lewis, who impressed with early-season wins at Beverley and Lingfield.

But a disappointing run in the Goodwood Stewards’ Cup leaves Turpin in favour of the bang-in-form Amomentofmadness, aiming to avenge his short head defeat Goodwood defeat by El Astronaute.

In the 2.25 Acomb Stakes (7f), Dee Ex Bee is a confident choice.

Mark Johnston’s colt, (by Farhh out of Dubai Sunshine) won nicely on debut at Goodwood. He made all to win with a lot in hand and has the look of a superstar in the making.

The Dettori / Gosden combination will be all the rage in the Great Voltigeur Stakes (3.00). Frankie’s charge, Cracksman, deserves respect after an impressive third in the Derby, and a near-miss second in the Irish Derby.

But Turpin’s value selection is Sir Michael Stoute’s Mirage Dancer whose debut win last season was followed by good performances at Chester and Royal Ascot.

There is much more to come from this Frankel colt, and as long as the pace is not allowed to flag, Andrea Atzeni’s mount has an excellent chance of beating favourite Cracksman.

Only seven runners for the Juddmonte (3.35), but what a race in prospect.

Only My Dream Boat can be easily discounted (visored for the first time, after cheekpieces failed to keep his mind on the job in the King George).

Turpin’s preference is for Sir Michael Stoute’s four-year-old Galileo colt, Ulysses, who saw off Barney Roy in the Eclipse.

Barney Roy gained revenge on Churchill at Royal Ascot, and looks to have enough to hold the O’Brien three-year-old again.

The unpredictable, quantity here is Shutter Speed. The three-time winner didn’t fully recapture her form in the Prix Diane at Chantilly; but fourth place in that company is hardly a big failure – and the wide draw may have been the real decisive factor there.

With Dettori aboard, anything could happen, and John Gosden decision to tongue-tie the filly could be the missing ingredient. Will that be enough to overcome the Crowley / Stoute combination on Ulysses?

Mark Johnston saddles a pair of fancied runners in the two-mile Fine Equity Handicap (4.15). Jockey Joe Fanning has opted for top-weighted Ascot winner Oriental Fox.

But Turpin’s preference is for Johnston’s Yorkidding, a winner twice this season, who also had a bold showing in the Chester Cup.

Theydon Grey, the likely favourite, has done nothing wrong for William Haggas, and is seeking a four-timer. But this is a step up and he looks vulnerable this time, even though he’s has the benefit of near-bottom weight in the handicap.

The final race, The Betway Nursery (4.50) serves up a thrilling 20-runner sprint contest. Turpin’s money (but not much of it) will be on Frankie aboard Richard Hannon’s Etefaaq to defeat William Haggas’s Green Fortune, with dangers in the form of Tathmeen, Savalas and Zap.

Turpin’s tips

1.55

Win: Amomentofmadness
Place: Edward Lewis
Longshot: El Astronaute

2.25

Win: Dee Ex Bee (n.b.)
Place: Fleet Review
Longshot: Wells Farhh Go

3.00

Win: Mirage Dancer
Place: Cracksman
Longshot: Khalidi

3.35

Win: Ulysses (nap)
Place: Barney Roy
Longshot: Shutter Speed

4.15

Win: Yorkidding
Place: Theydon Grey
Longshot: Magic Circle

4.50

Win: Etefaaq
Place: Green Fortune
Longshot: Savalas